News from Libya – August 27, 2011

NATO Victory

As the change in the familiar title suggests, there is no more a Libyan front other than the defensive lines around some cities and a scattered resistance. No doubt, the militaries of US, UK, and France will level these cities soon and win the war.

Guardian wrote that without “20,000 air sorties, arms supplies and logistical support of the most powerful states in the world, [the rebels] would not be calling the shots in Tripoli today. The assault on the capital was supported by the heaviest Nato bombardment to date. Western intelligence and special forces have been on the ground for months – in mockery of the UN – training, planning and co-ordinating rebel operations… They will expect a payback for their investment in the Libyan war: in oil and commercial deals, political support and perhaps even the return of western military bases.”

British “no boots on the ground” SAS troops dressed in Arab garb that obviously led the “rebel” offensive are now refocusing on finding Gadhafi. US intelligence is analyzing every phone call in Libya but so far coming empty. Could it be because he is dressed as a Brit?

“Soldiers from 22 SAS Regiment were first sent into the north African country several weeks ago by David Cameron and they have remained there to find Gaddafi,” according to the Daily Mail.

Future of Libya
A crop of militias that include Libyan Al-Qaida were handed the victory. But a liberal democracy is unlikely. The proposed constitution already says that Sharia (islamist law previously implemneted by Taliban and other nice movements) will form the core of the new Libyan “legal” system. Female students that comprised about half of Libyan student bodies better learn cooking and sewing.

Thousands of killed members of dominating tribes, many of them execution-style and including women and children by victorious islamist tribes will not be forgotten and will lead to future resistance to the West-established regime. Al-Qaida is also unlikely to accept the US puppet government.

Looking Back to See the Future Libya

Quoting NY Times:
“Libya had been desperately poor, living off the meager proceeds from exporting scrap metal left over from major World War II battles until oil was discovered in 1959. But a decade later, Libyans had touched little of their wealth.

The 1969 coup changed that. The new Libyan government forged a profound global change in the relationship between the major oil companies and the producing countries, forcing the oil giants to cede majority stakes in exchange for continued access to Libya’s oilfields. Libya also demanded a higher share of the profits. The pattern was emulated across the oil-producing states.

With the increased revenue, Colonel Qaddafi set about building roads, hospitals, schools and housing. Life expectancy, which was 51 in 1969, is now over 74. Literacy leapt to 88 percent.”

Western oil companies did not get involved in this “war for democracy” to continue sharing profits with Libyan people.

Just like Iraq and Afghan wars, the defeat of regular regime forces did not mark the end but the begining of those wars. Except this time, the West is broke.

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