Archive for August, 2011

Stratfor confirmed that the Tripoli offensive was accomplished by NATO special forces, not “rebels”

“After six months, NATO got tired, and we wound up with the assault on Tripoli. The assault appears to have consisted of three parts. The first was the insertion of NATO special operations troops (in the low hundreds, not thousands) who, guided by intelligence operatives in Tripoli, attacked and destabilized the government forces in the city. The second part was an information operation in which NATO made it appear that the battle was over. The bizarre incident in which Gadhafi’s son, Seif al-Islam, announced as being captured only to show up in an SUV looking very un-captured, was part of this game. NATO wanted it to appear that the leadership had been reduced and Gadhafi’s forces broken to convince those same forces to capitulate. Seif al-Islam’s appearance was designed to signal his troops that the war was still on.

Following the special operations strikes and the information operations, western rebels entered the city to great fanfare, including celebratory gunfire into the air. The world’s media chronicled the end of the war as the special operations teams melted away and the victorious rebels took the bows.”

Libya Descending into Chaos as Islamist Militias Squable for Domination

According to Deutche Welle, the situation is most similar to Afghanistan after they expelled non-islamic pro-soviet government with a free for all fighting for control.

One of the key arguments for America not being the world’s policeman is that constant intervention leads to too many unintended consequences.

Libya is a perfect example.

President Reagan was right when he called Muammar Gaddafi the “mad dog of the Middle East,” and yet in recent years many in Washington have gone out of their way to support the Libyan dictator.

What kind of American “leader” would do such a thing? How about 2008 Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain. Reports The American Spectator’s Doug Bandow:

“It turns out that (McCain) was for dictatorship before he was against it… Two years ago Sen. McCain was hanging out with the ‘Colonel’ he tweeted about as ‘interesting’ urging arms sales. According to a new cable released by WikiLeaks:

‘In the meeting, Muatassim Qadhafi, the Libyan leader’s fifth son and national security adviser, requested U.S. assistance in obtaining military supplies, both lethal and non-lethal… The cable indicates that McCain was the dominant voice among the congressional delegation in a push for military hardware for Qadhafi.’

‘Sen. McCain assured Muatassim that the United States wanted to provide Libya with the equipment it needs for its … security,’ according to the cable.

McCain said that he understood the need for Libya to upgrade its existing ranks of C-130 Hercules aircraft. Libya had bought eight of the military cargo aircraft in the 1970s, but as bilateral relationships with the United States deteriorated, a ban of arms sales prevented the aircraft from being moved to North Africa. McCain pledged to do what he could to move the issue forward in Congress.”

No doubt, McCain would have considered those in Congress who opposed strengthening Gaddafi’s military capabilities “isolationists” for not wanting to aid our Libyan “ally”—just as McCain today considers those who opposed Obama’s intervention in Libya to topple Gaddafi “isolationists.”

For McCain (and Presidents Bush and Obama) the worst thing the US could do is not get involved. And yet our recent help in overthrowing Gaddafi might have actually helped Al-Qaeda. Reported CBS News in March:

“Former CIA officer Bruce Riedel (told)… the Hindustan Times: ‘There is no question that al Qaeda’s Libyan franchise, Libyan Islamic Fighting Group, is a part of the opposition. It has always been Qaddafi’s biggest enemy and its stronghold is Benghazi. What is unclear is how much of the opposition is al Qaeda/Libyan Islamic Fighting Group – 2 percent or 80 percent.”

Why would we ask the U.S. military to help people in Libya that we ask them to fight in other countries? Vice President Dick Cheney once said that if there was a 1% chance Iraq had WMDs the US must attack. If there is even a 2% chance the US is helping Al-Qaeda in Libya, why would we do it?

Rebel leaders themselves have admitted that Al-Qaeda is among their ranks. The Telegraph ran the headline in March “Libyan rebel commander admits his fighters have al-Qaeda links,” reporting:

“Mr al-Hasidi insisted his fighters ‘are patriots and good Muslims, not terrorists,’ but added that the ‘members of al-Qaeda are also good Muslims and are fighting against the invader.”

This is foreign policy schizophrenia. From the very beginning, Ron Paul has consistently said we should not get involved in Libya’s internal affairs because nothing good can come of it. Nothing good continues to come of it.

So who was right about intervening in Libya? The Bush administration? President Obama? John McCain?

Or Ron Paul?

Sirte – the Apotheosis of “Liberal Intervention”

There is no cause to doubt that, for whatever reason, the support of the people of Sirte for Gadaffi is genuine. That this means they deserve to be pounded into submission is less obvious to me. The disconnect between the UN mandate to protect civilians while facilitating negotiation, and NATO’s actual actions as the anti-Gadaffi forces’ air force and special forces, is startling.

There is something so shocking in the Orwellian doublespeak of NATO on this point that I am severely dismayed. I suffer from that old springing eternal of hope, and am therefore always in a state of disappointment. I had hoped that the general population in Europe is so educated now that obvious outright lies would be rejected. I even hoped some journalists would seek to expose lies.

I was wrong, wrong, wrong.

The “rebels” are actively hitting Sirte with heavy artillery and Stalin’s organs; they are transporting tanks openly to attack Sirte. Yet any movement of tanks or artillery by the population of Sirte brings immediate death from NATO air strike.

What exactly is the reason that Sirte’s defenders are threatening civilians but the artillery of their attackers – and the bombings themselves – are not? Plainly this is a nonsense. People in foreign ministries, NATO, the BBC and other media are well aware that it is the starkest lie and propaganda, to say the assault on Sirte is protecting civilians. But does knowledge of the truth prevent them from peddling a lie? No.

It is worth reminding everyone something never mentioned, that UNSCR 1973 which established the no fly zone and mandate to protect civilians had

“the aim of facilitating dialogue to lead to the political reforms necessary to find a peaceful and sustainable solution;”

That is in Operative Para 2 of the Resolution

Plainly the people of Sirte hold a different view to the “rebels” as to who should run the country. NATO have in effect declared being in Gadaffi’s political camp a capital offence. There is no way the massive assault on Sirte is “facilitating dialogue”. it is rather killing those who do not hold the NATO approved opinion. That is the actual truth. It is extremely plain.

I have no time for Gadaffi. I have actually met him, and he really is nuts, and dangerous. There were aspects of his rule in terms of social development which were good, but much more that was bad and tyrannical. But if NATO is attacking him because he is a dictator, why is it not attacking Dubai, Bahrain, Syria, Burma, Zimbabwe, or Uzbekistan, to name a random selection of badly governed countries?

“Liberal intervention” does not exist. What we have is the opposite; highly selective neo-imperial wars aimed at ensuring politically client control of key physical resources.

Wars kill people. Women and children are dying now in Libya, whatever the sanitised media tells you. The BBC have reported it will take a decade to repair Libya’s infrastructure from the damage of war. That in an underestimate. Iraq is still decades away from returning its utilities to their condition in 2000.

I strongly support the revolutions of the Arab Spring. But NATO intervention does not bring freedom, it brings destruction, degradation and permanent enslavement to the neo-colonial yoke. From now on, Libyans like us will be toiling to enrich western bankers. That, apparently, is worth to NATO the reduction of Sirte to rubble.

Yet another unconstitutional and costly adventure

LAKE JACKSON, Texas– Today, 2012 Republican Presidential candidate Ron Paul issued a statement on the situation in Libya. See comments below.
“The current situation in Libya may be a short term victory for Empire, but it is a loss for our American Republic. And, I fear it may be devastating to the Libyan people.

“There is no doubt that Moammar Gadhafi is a bad guy, and that he has brought harm and misery to his country. However, our involvement in another country’s civil war is costly and unconstitutional.

“We have spent over $1 billion on a war that this administration has fought not with the consent of Congress but under a NATO flag and authorization from the United Nations.

“It is a serious thing for a President to engage us in a war. He is bound by our Constitution to seek authority from the People, through our Congress, prior to engaging in any military action unless that action is to address an imminent threat to our safety and security. The situation in Libya is a civil war contained within that country’s sovereign borders, and it presented no imminent threat to the United States.

“And so, our government continues to spend trillions of dollars in overseas foreign wars while we face unsustainable debt, a looming dollar crisis, and our Constitution seems to lose any meaning. These actions will sink our country if we do not reverse course.

“Meanwhile, we must beware of any ‘Mission Accomplished’ euphoria. The conflict in Libya is far from over, and there could very well be war in Libya for a long time to come.

“While I hope and pray that the hostility draws to a close and the people there find peace, I fear this is only wishful thinking. We face a situation where a rebel element we have been assisting may very well be radical jihadists, bent on our destruction, and placed in positions of power in a new government.

“Worse still, Gadhafi’s successor is likely to be just as bad, or worse, than Gadhafi himself. Alternately, Libya may descend into anarchy like Somalia after the overthrow of dictator Siad Barre. Much like when we removed Saddam Hussein, another thug in Iraq, the likelihood of either a new brutal dictatorship or tribal violence and a protracted insurgency are much more likely than the peaceful transition to democracy we are all hoping for.

“With all these problems and the predictable chaos that will likely ensue, we must ask why this administration was so eager to embark on this Libyan operation in the name of ‘humanitarianism.’ Governments in Bahrain and Yemen have this year used military force to put down democratic protestors. The Saudi regime, which practices Sharia Law, has also been repressive, yet we have not intervened there. These countries continue to sell us oil, while Libya had begun to turn their exports toward Russia, China, India, and Brazil. Could this war largely be about protecting our oil interests at the expense of our Constitution?

“This episode is all too familiar. We were already involved in two wars that have dragged on years longer than the people who led us into them initially predicted. We can no longer afford to police the world, in terms of both dollars and American lives. We will destroy ourselves if we do not stop, build a strong national defense at home, and focus on trade and commerce with the world instead of Empire.”

NATO Victory

As the change in the familiar title suggests, there is no more a Libyan front other than the defensive lines around some cities and a scattered resistance. No doubt, the militaries of US, UK, and France will level these cities soon and win the war.

Guardian wrote that without “20,000 air sorties, arms supplies and logistical support of the most powerful states in the world, [the rebels] would not be calling the shots in Tripoli today. The assault on the capital was supported by the heaviest Nato bombardment to date. Western intelligence and special forces have been on the ground for months – in mockery of the UN – training, planning and co-ordinating rebel operations… They will expect a payback for their investment in the Libyan war: in oil and commercial deals, political support and perhaps even the return of western military bases.”

British “no boots on the ground” SAS troops dressed in Arab garb that obviously led the “rebel” offensive are now refocusing on finding Gadhafi. US intelligence is analyzing every phone call in Libya but so far coming empty. Could it be because he is dressed as a Brit?

“Soldiers from 22 SAS Regiment were first sent into the north African country several weeks ago by David Cameron and they have remained there to find Gaddafi,” according to the Daily Mail.

Future of Libya
A crop of militias that include Libyan Al-Qaida were handed the victory. But a liberal democracy is unlikely. The proposed constitution already says that Sharia (islamist law previously implemneted by Taliban and other nice movements) will form the core of the new Libyan “legal” system. Female students that comprised about half of Libyan student bodies better learn cooking and sewing.

Thousands of killed members of dominating tribes, many of them execution-style and including women and children by victorious islamist tribes will not be forgotten and will lead to future resistance to the West-established regime. Al-Qaida is also unlikely to accept the US puppet government.

Looking Back to See the Future Libya

Quoting NY Times:
“Libya had been desperately poor, living off the meager proceeds from exporting scrap metal left over from major World War II battles until oil was discovered in 1959. But a decade later, Libyans had touched little of their wealth.

The 1969 coup changed that. The new Libyan government forged a profound global change in the relationship between the major oil companies and the producing countries, forcing the oil giants to cede majority stakes in exchange for continued access to Libya’s oilfields. Libya also demanded a higher share of the profits. The pattern was emulated across the oil-producing states.

With the increased revenue, Colonel Qaddafi set about building roads, hospitals, schools and housing. Life expectancy, which was 51 in 1969, is now over 74. Literacy leapt to 88 percent.”

Western oil companies did not get involved in this “war for democracy” to continue sharing profits with Libyan people.

Just like Iraq and Afghan wars, the defeat of regular regime forces did not mark the end but the begining of those wars. Except this time, the West is broke.

“Was the United States, through participation in the overthrow of the regime, furthering the aims of international oil corporations in pursuit of control over one of the world’s largest oil resources?” he asked. “Did the United States at the inception of the war against Libya align itself with elements of Al Qaeda, while elsewhere continuing to use the threat of Al Qaeda as a reason for U.S. military intervention, presence and occupation?”

http://news.antiwar.com/2011/08/23/kucinich-nato-not-exempt-from-law/
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Yesterday I wrote that the rebel victory was most likely achieved by non-Libyan special forces. Today it was reported that “Gaddafi’s forces had captured four “high ranking” Qataris and one United Arab Emirates national”.

The Al-Qaida rebels supported by the West cannot sustain live fire and limit themselves to looting and selling military’s arms depots after US bombardment forced Libyan troops to withdraw.

Finally something is happening again… But what is really happening?!

After more than six months of showing a total incompetence and inability to hold land even with the help of unrelenting “humanitarian” bombing by the militarily strongest countries of the world – US, UK, and France, the “rebels” suddenly defeated Gadhafi and occupied Libyan capital Tripoli. How can that be?

One reason was mentioned in the news: The commander of a battalion defending the city from the west switched sides. But one battalion is not enough. As this Yahoo article says, “the swift military advance of recent days revived questions about the shadowy role of foreign special forces on the ground”. Most likely Egyptian special forces that were reported active since the beginning of Libyan “revolt”. Now that makes sense and fits the character of this Libyan civil war: the rebels are dancing and celebrating a victory won by somebody else.

How does this victory look like?

The US government, namely Obama, is busy “dancing” with the rebels while conveniently “forgetting” that with his help, Al-Qaida got access to advanced weapons including chemical weapons. ‘In particular, we must ensure that Gaddafi’s stockpiles of advanced weapons, chemical weapons and explosives don’t fall into the wrong hands.’ Sure. More weapons in the hands of Al-Qaida will justify more police state, Homeland Security, and weapon sales by the military-industrial complex. And that is a good business!

After a short time being off-air, the TV station is back under Gadhafi’s control. “The network reverted to taped broadcasts of previous pro-Gadhafi gatherings.”

The “rebels” have announced that they captured three Gadhafi’s sons but one of them (Mohammed) escaped and another “arrested” son, Saif al-Islam that was reportedly in rebels’ hands is also in safety.

Saif al-Islam, the son of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi who rebels and the International Criminal Court said had been arrested, arrived late on Monday at the Tripoli hotel where foreign reporters are staying. Saif appeared at the Rixos Hotel late at night and spoke to foreign journalists there.

Could they even hold Gadhafi if they managed to catch him?

In the meantime, the fighting in Tripoli resulted in “1,300 people … killed and about 5,000 wounded in fighting in the previous 12 hours”. (It is Gadhafi’s news but that seems more accurate than repeating western mantra that Gadhafi left Libya. Where would he go now that he is indicted by “international community”? He has nowhere to go.

A final word: Gadhafi and Libya may be defeated. After all, it is a tiny, backward nation of 5 million people and it against US, UK, and France. He does not seem to have a chance. But every day he lasts, he is the winner.

Rehearsal for Syria.

Is Libyan Revolution Over?

A week after the rebel general was killed by what looks like the Al-Qaida branch of the “rebels”, the rebel council still cannot decide what to do. Clearly the Al-Qaida influence in the council that won US, UK, French and some other countries’ recognition is very strong.

But the general’s tribe is getting impatient and treatens its won action. Looks like another Somalia Made in USA and Gadhafi must feel like a winner.

Meanwhile US and the West is planning to provide billions of the frozen Libyan funds to the rebels. Al-Qaida / US partnership from Afghan – Soviet war and Balkan wars is well and alive. But then, what do we have TSA for?